On Intelligent Design and  Naturalism v. Supernaturalism:

"The Design Argument". An expanded version of a paper first published in W. Mann, ed., The Blackwell Guide to Philosophy of Religion, 2004.

"What Is Wrong with Intelligent Design?" Quarterly Review of Biology, 2007, 82: 3-8.

(with Branden Fitelson and Christopher Stephens)  "How Not to Detect Design--- A Review of William Dembski's The Design Inference. Philosophy of Science, 1999, 66: 472-488.

"Intelligent Design and Probability Reasoning." International Journal for the Philosophy of Religion, 2002, 52: 65-80.

"Sex Ratio Theory, Ancient and Modern --  An 18th Century Debate about Intelligent Design and the Development of Models in Evolutionary Biology."   In J. Riskin (ed.), The Sistine Gap – Essays on the History and Philosophy of Artificial Life, University of Chicago Press, 2007, pp. 131-162.

(with Branden Fitelson). “Plantinga’s Probability Arguments Against Evolutionary Naturalism.” Pacific Philosophical Quarterly, 1998, 79: 115-129.

"Intelligent Design and the Supernatural -- the 'God or Extraterrestrials' Reply." Faith and Philosophy, 2007, 24: 72-82.

On Evolutionary Theory:

"Evolution without Metaphysics ."  2008

"Fodor's Bubbe Meise Against Darwinism."   Mind and Language, 2008, 23: 42-49.

"The Contest between Likelihood and Parsimony." Systematic Biology, 2004, 53: 644-653.

"Contingency or Inevitability?  What would happen if the evolutionary tape were replayed?" A review of Simon Conway Morris's  Life’s Solution – Inevitable humans in a lonely universe. New York Times, November 30, 2003.

(with Michael Steel) "Testing the Hypothesis of Common Ancestry", Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2002, 218: 395-408.

(with Steven Hecht Orzack) "Common Ancestry and Natural Selection", British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 2003, 54: 423-437.

"The Two Faces of Fitness"  in R. Singh, D. Paul, C. Krimbas, and J. Beatty (eds.), Thinking about Evolution:  Historical, Philosophical, and Political Perspectives. Cambridge University Press, 2001, pp.309-321.

"Two Outbreaks of Lawlessness in Recent Philosophy of Biology" Philosophy of Science, 1997, 64: S458-S467.

On Other Topics in Philosophy of Science:

Empiricism.” In S. Psillos and M. Curd (eds.), The Routledge Companion to the Philosophy of Science, forthcoming.

(with Larry Shapiro) "Epiphenomenalism -- the Do's and the Don'ts."  In G. Wolters and P. Machamer (eds), Studies in Causality: Historical and Contemporary.  University of Pittsburgh Press,.2007, pp. 235-264.

"Evolutionary Theory and the Reality of Macro Probabilities." in E. Eells and J. Fetzer (eds.), Probability in Science, Open Court, forthcoming.

"Coincidences and How to Reason about Them," 2004, unpublished.

(with Christopher Hitchcock) "Prediction Versus Accommodation and the Risk of Overfitting." British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 2004, 55: 1-34.

"A Modest Proposal, a Review of John Earman's Hume's  Abject Failure – the Miracles Argument.” Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 2004, 118: 487-494.

(with Ken Burnham) "Akaike without Tears -- a derivation of a special case of Akaike's Theorem (one that simplifies the proof)."

"Parsimony" forthcoming in S. Sarkar, ed., The Philosophy of Science -- An Encyclopedia, Routledge).

"What is the Problem of Simplicity?" In. A. Zellner, H. Keuzenkamp, and M. McAleer (eds.) Simplicity, Inference, and Modelling.  Cambridge:  Cambridge University Press, 2002, pp. 13-32.

"Two Uses of Unification" in F. Stadler, ed., Institute Vienna Circle Yearbook 2002, Kluwer, 2003, pp. 205-216.   

For the following papers co-authored with Malcolm Forster, go to http://philosophy.wisc.edu/forster: "How to Tell When Simpler, More Unified, or Less Ad Hoc Theories Will Provide More Accurate Predictions." British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 1994, 45: 1-36; "Why Likelihood?", in M. Taper and S. Lee (ed.), The Nature of Scientific Evidence, University of Chicago Press, forthcoming.

"Bayesianism -- Its Scope and Limits" in R. Swinburne, ed., Bayes' Theorem, Proceedings of the British Academy Press, vol. 113, 2002, pp. 21-38.

"Instrumentalism, Parsimony, and the Akaike Framework." Philosophy of Science, 2002, 69: S112-S123.

"An Empirical Critique of Two Versions of the Doomsday Argument -- Gott's Line and Leslie's Wedge"  Synthese, 2003, 135: 415-30.

"To Give a Surprise Exam, Use Game Theory" Synthese, 1998, 115: 355-373.  "Addendum" (to "To Give a Surprise Exam, Use Game Theory").

"The Multiple Realizability Argument Against Reductionism" Philosophy of Science, 1999, 66: 542-564.

"Testability" Proceedings and Addresses of the American Philosophical Association, 1999, 73: 47-76.

 “Quine’s Two Dogmas” Proceedings of the Aristotlean Society, 2000, Supplementary Volume 74: 237-280.

"Physicalism from a Probabilistic Point of View" Philosophical Studies, 1999, 95: 135-174.

"Apportioning Causal Responsibility."  Journal of Philosophy, 1988, 85:303-318.

(with Martin Barrett) "The Second Law of Probability DynamicsBritish Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 1994, pp. 941-954.

(with Gregory Mougin) "Betting Against Pascal's Wager" Nous, 1994, 28: 382-395.